The estimation of the electricity energy demand using particle swarm optimization algorithm: A case study of Turkey
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2017
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Elsevier Science Bv
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Energy is the most important factor in improving the quality of life and advancing the economic and social progress. Demographic changes directly affect the energy demand. At present the worlds population is growing quickly. As of 2015, it was estimated at 7.3 billion. The population and the export of Turkey have been increasing for two decades. Consequently, electricity energy demand of Turkey has been increasing rapidly. This study aims to predict the future electricity energy demand of Turkey. In this paper, the prediction of the electricity demand of Turkey is modeled by using particle swarm optimization algorithm. The data of the gross domestic product, population, import and export are used as input data of the proposed model in the experiments. The GDP, import and export data are taken from the annual reports of the Turkish Ministry of Finance. The population data are taken from the Turkish Statistical Institute. The electricity demand data are taken from the Turkish Electricity Transmission Company. The statistical method R-2 and adjusted-R-2 are used as the performance criteria. The experimental results show that the generated model is very efficient. (c) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
Açıklama
8th International Conference on Advances in Information Technology (IAIT) -- DEC 19-22, 2016 -- Macau, PEOPLES R CHINA
Anahtar Kelimeler
Electricity Energy Estimation, Particle Swarm Optimization, Prediction Of The Future Electricity Demand
Kaynak
8th International Conference On Advances In Information Technology
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
111
