Effect of time horizon on wind speed prediction with ann

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dc.authoridŞaban Pusat: 0000-0001-5868-4503
dc.authoridMustafa Tahir Akkoyunlu: 0000-0003-1884-5805
dc.contributor.authorPusat, Şaban
dc.contributor.authorAkkoyunlu, Mustafa Tahir
dc.date.accessioned2020-01-18T21:12:48Z
dc.date.available2020-01-18T21:12:48Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.departmentNEÜ, Ereğli Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, Enerji Sistemleri Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.descriptionWOS:000431972300002en_US
dc.description.abstractProper utilization of renewable energy sources in electricity production is inevitable due to the environmentalconcerns and global warming fight. Therefore, predictability of renewable electricity is a very significant issue fora long time. Main aim of this study, different from the literature, is to investigate the change of wind speedprediction errors for different time horizons. Different prediction time horizons (10, 30, 60, 90 and 120 minutes)were used, and the results were compared through the error measures and the regression values. The mean squarederrors and the regression values vary between 0.819 and 5.570, and between 77.8% and 97.1%, respectively. Theprediction error changes almost logarithmically, and the rate of change decreases with the increasing time horizon.A new analysis approach was proposed to see the change of the prediction error with time horizon. The equation,y 1.5413ln(x) - 2.7428, representing the change of the mean squared error with time horizon was obtained.en_US
dc.identifier.citationPusat, S. Akkoyunlu, M.T. (2018).Effect of time horizon on wind speed prediction with ann. Journal of Thermal Engineering, 4, 2, Special 7, 1770-1779.en_US
dc.identifier.endpage1779en_US
dc.identifier.issn2148-7847en_US
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3en_US
dc.identifier.startpage1770en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://app.trdizin.gov.tr/makale/TXpBME56Y3dNQT09/effect-of-time-horizon-on-wind-speed-prediction-with-ann
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12452/2857
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.18186/journal-of-thermal-engineering.372218en_US
dc.identifier.volume4en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000431972300002en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakTR-Dizinen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherYıldız Technical Universityen_US
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Thermal Engineeringen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US]
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectWind energyen_US
dc.subjectWind speed predictionen_US
dc.subjectArtificial neural networken_US
dc.subjectTime horizonen_US
dc.titleEffect of time horizon on wind speed prediction with annen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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